Annie Leow's Government Blog

Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP Nevada Poll 20.2%-29.8% He gets 20.2% and Biden gets 22.8% State is torn between Sanders and Warren. Warren-25, Sanders-18, Biden-13, Steyer-11 The state switched from primaries to caucuses. It's harder to talk to people because the state has a disproportionate amount of people who work odd hours, such as in casinos. Nevada has a newer caucus and is less established than Iowa, so the pollsters have not had time to build the sort of infrastructure and state expertise that has developed in Iowa. They have a 4-day early voting period where they do ranked-choice voting. There is a heavy reliance on tourism and the casino industry, and it waxes and wanes seasonally. Because pollsters have to staff people to conduct fieldwork over a 24-hour period rather than just the evenings and keep updating phone records and developing new models.

He was a top Ukraine expert on National Security Council He testified that Trump's call with Zelensky was inappropriate and improper He was removed from White House post and his twin brother was reassigned. They said it wasn't targeting them but that they were trying to shrink staff. Officers will be more scared to speak out or testify next time for fear of punishment. ambassador to the EU He said there was an extensive quid pro quo at play and provided documents like emails and texts to prove it big Trump donor Other members of the White House like George Kent, one of the diplomatic corps' top Ukraine expert, and Laura Cooper, the Defense Department's deputy assistant secretary for Russia, Ukraine, and Eurasia.

Phase 1 only concerns a paltry number of candidates but has a significant impact on the race's overall narrative. Phase 2 is the briefest but the most consequential.  Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina Because there are so few other contests happening, they are very important for overall perceptions. 60% California and Texas, but there will be other primaries in the South (Virginia, North Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Oklahoma), New England (Massachusetts, Maine, Vermont), the West (Colorado, Utah), and the Midwest (Minnesota), and caucuses in American Samoa 6; 4 California moved to Super Tuesday. They will be smaller and more spread out It lets lesser-known candidates make their case in smaller, more-manageable settings. They allot all delegates proportionally, with no winner-take-all contests permitted

All 7 Jan 17-20 FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll showed the most support. Gallup poll showed most opposition 83.9% of Democrats and 8.4% of Republicans Americans were evenly divided (49 percent to 48 percent) on whether to remove Trump from office, but they approved of the House’s decision to impeach by 7 points (53 percent to 46 percent). They might think Mike Pence would make a better president. The actual voters tend to be more Republican than just the adults. More men think a woman can get elected, but women are more skeptical and are less likely to think a woman can get elected. white voters without a college degree 69% of people don't support overturning Roe v Wade, but there is a general public support for restrictions like waiting time.

They both involve state constitutional provisions that prohibited those states frumps ending money to "aid" churches and other religious institutions.  The provision could prohibit the state from providing police or fire protection. They would have to let the church burn. They might be forced to choose between attending a school that lines up with their beliefs or receive thousands of dollars in government benefits. They spend an average of $11392 per student. He said that denying a generally available benefit solely on a account of religious identity imposes a penalty on the free exercise of religion that can be justified only by a state interest of the highest order. They will either declare the case moot or follow Rucho v. Common Cause, which held that federal courts may not even consider the challenges to partisan gerrymanders. The core question is whether the Trump administration acted properly when it wrote a sweeping exemption into regulations requiring employe...

He was one of Iran's most revered military leaders who led covert military operations. The Pentagon said he was planning to attack American diplomats, on top of being responsible for past attacks. They have been mourning and vowed revenge. He basically said we will hit back harder and faster.  They say it violates jus cogent and that attacking cultural sites is a war crime. They have united to mourn Soleimani and against America. They plan to make radical changes, urging parliament to order US troops to withdraw from Iraq.  It limited number of centrifuges and restricted nuclear programs, while easing international sanctions against Iran.  He reimposed sanctions on Iran's oil sectors and withdrew from the agreement. Iran said they would start stockpiling more low-enriched uranium than the agreement allowed. They said they would also stop limiting centrifuges. They will continue to follow some aspects of the JCPOA, meaning that Iran will continue to allow the I...