Annie Leow's Government Blog

Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP Nevada Poll 20.2%-29.8% He gets 20.2% and Biden gets 22.8% State is torn between Sanders and Warren. Warren-25, Sanders-18, Biden-13, Steyer-11 The state switched from primaries to caucuses. It's harder to talk to people because the state has a disproportionate amount of people who work odd hours, such as in casinos. Nevada has a newer caucus and is less established than Iowa, so the pollsters have not had time to build the sort of infrastructure and state expertise that has developed in Iowa. They have a 4-day early voting period where they do ranked-choice voting. There is a heavy reliance on tourism and the casino industry, and it waxes and wanes seasonally. Because pollsters have to staff people to conduct fieldwork over a 24-hour period rather than just the evenings and keep updating phone records and developing new models.

He was a top Ukraine expert on National Security Council He testified that Trump's call with Zelensky was inappropriate and improper He was removed from White House post and his twin brother was reassigned. They said it wasn't targeting them but that they were trying to shrink staff. Officers will be more scared to speak out or testify next time for fear of punishment. ambassador to the EU He said there was an extensive quid pro quo at play and provided documents like emails and texts to prove it big Trump donor Other members of the White House like George Kent, one of the diplomatic corps' top Ukraine expert, and Laura Cooper, the Defense Department's deputy assistant secretary for Russia, Ukraine, and Eurasia.

Phase 1 only concerns a paltry number of candidates but has a significant impact on the race's overall narrative. Phase 2 is the briefest but the most consequential.  Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina Because there are so few other contests happening, they are very important for overall perceptions. 60% California and Texas, but there will be other primaries in the South (Virginia, North Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Oklahoma), New England (Massachusetts, Maine, Vermont), the West (Colorado, Utah), and the Midwest (Minnesota), and caucuses in American Samoa 6; 4 California moved to Super Tuesday. They will be smaller and more spread out It lets lesser-known candidates make their case in smaller, more-manageable settings. They allot all delegates proportionally, with no winner-take-all contests permitted